Chapter 9: Capacity – Income and Employment Analysis



Overview

Capacity refers to the borrower’s ability to repay the mortgage loan based on current and future income. It is one of the Four C’s of underwriting (Credit, Capacity, Capital, Collateral). This chapter focuses on the evaluation of income sources, employment stability, documentation requirements, and debt-to-income ratio (DTI) calculations.


Section 1: Principles of Capacity Analysis

1.1 Key Objectives

  • Determine stable and sufficient income to support new housing payments and debts
  • Verify income sources as legal and ongoing
  • Analyze employment history for stability
  • Calculate accurate DTI ratios

1.2 Underwriting Philosophy

  • Capacity should be consistent, reliable, and expected to continue for at least 3 years
  • Underwriters must use conservative estimations
  • Income must be well-documented and verifiable

Section 2: Employment and Income Documentation

2.1 Standard Requirements

  • Paystubs (most recent 30 days)
  • W-2s (2 years)
  • Tax Returns (if applicable, usually 2 years)
  • Verification of Employment (VOE)
  • Written explanation for employment gaps >30 days

2.2 Acceptable Employment Types

  • Full-Time (W-2)
  • Part-Time
  • Seasonal
  • Self-Employed
  • Military
  • Union Workers
  • Contract/Gig workers (case-by-case)

2.3 Unacceptable Income Sources

  • Income not reported on tax returns (unless allowed by program)
  • Unverifiable cash income
  • One-time bonuses or gifts
  • Short-term disability or unemployment

Section 3: Income Types and Calculations

3.1 Salary and Hourly Wages

  • Base Pay: Use current rate if consistent for past 12+ months
  • Hourly Pay:
    • Multiply hourly rate × average hours/week × 52 weeks ÷ 12 months
    • Overtime and bonuses must have a 12–24 month history

3.2 Bonuses and Overtime

  • Must be consistent and likely to continue
  • Average over past 2 years from W-2s or paystubs
  • Employer VOE may support continuation

3.3 Commission Income

  • Typically requires 2-year history
  • Must be stable and show consistent or increasing trend
  • Review Form 2106 for unreimbursed business expenses if applicable

3.4 Part-Time or Second Jobs

  • Must be held for 12+ months concurrently
  • Likelihood of continuance must be supported by employer VOE

3.5 Self-Employment Income

  • Documentation:
    • 2 years personal and business tax returns
    • Year-to-date Profit and Loss (P&L) statement
    • Balance sheet (if required)
  • Analysis:
    • Use adjusted gross income from Schedule C (or business returns)
    • Add non-cash deductions (depreciation, depletion)
    • Subtract recurring business expenses (e.g., meals, interest, car)

3.6 Rental Income

  • Lease agreements or tax returns (Schedule E)
  • Must prove ownership and occupancy (if applicable)
  • Apply 25% vacancy factor unless waived by investor

3.7 Alimony and Child Support

  • Must be documented with court order or agreement
  • Proof of receipt for 6–12 months
  • Must continue for minimum 3 years

3.8 Social Security, Pension, and Disability

  • Award letters
  • Proof of receipt (bank statements)
  • Continuity for 3 years (unless due to age, i.e., retirement)

3.9 Investment or Trust Income

  • 2 years of history
  • Proof of ongoing distribution
  • Documentation of source (trust agreement, investment statements)

Section 4: Employment History Requirements

4.1 General Guidelines

  • 2 years of stable employment history required
  • Gaps over 6 months require strong explanation and 6 months in current job

4.2 Recent Graduates

  • School transcripts or diploma can substitute for work history
  • New job offer letter may be used if starting within 60–90 days

4.3 Job Changes

  • Frequent changes in same industry are acceptable
  • Shift from W-2 to self-employment may require seasoning (often 2 years)

Section 5: Debt-to-Income Ratio (DTI)

5.1 DTI Types

  • Front-End DTI: Housing ratio = PITI ÷ Gross Monthly Income
  • Back-End DTI: Total obligations = (PITI + Monthly debts) ÷ Gross Monthly Income

5.2 Monthly Debt Obligations Include:

  • Auto loans, credit cards, student loans, personal loans
  • Alimony/child support
  • Co-signed loans (unless excluded per guidelines)
  • Housing expense (HOA dues, property taxes, insurance, mortgage)

5.3 DTI Tolerances by Program

  • Conventional (DU/LP findings): up to 45%, occasionally 50%
  • FHA: Typically 31%/43% front/back, up to 50% with strong compensating factors
  • VA: No specific DTI cap, but residual income guidelines apply
  • Jumbo: Varies by lender, often stricter (up to 43%)

Section 6: Income Averaging and Analysis Tips

6.1 Averaging Periods

  • Use 12- or 24-month averages based on trend and program
  • Declining income must be explained and may be averaged conservatively

6.2 Seasonal or Irregular Income

  • Identify season pattern
  • Use year-round average or seasonal average as permitted

6.3 Red Flags

  • Sudden income increases or decreases
  • Unverifiable sources
  • Large write-offs for self-employed borrowers

6.4 Employer VOE Review

  • Confirm position, hire date, likelihood of continuance, and compensation breakdown
  • Watch for discrepancies between paystubs and VOE

Section 7: Tools and Worksheets

7.1 FNMA Form 1005/1005(S)

  • Request for Verification of Employment
  • Used to confirm income and job details

7.2 FNMA Form 1084

  • Cash Flow Analysis Worksheet for self-employed borrowers

7.3 Freddie Mac Form 91

  • Alternative income calculation tool

7.4 Lender-Specific Income Calculators

  • Automated or Excel-based templates to standardize income analysis

Section 8: Case Studies

Case 1: Hourly Worker with Overtime

  • $18/hr × 40 hrs/week = $3,120/month
  • Overtime history averaged over 24 months = $400/month
  • Total income = $3,520/month

Case 2: Self-Employed Borrower

  • Schedule C net income: $40,000
  • Add back $5,000 depreciation
  • Subtract $2,000 recurring expenses
  • Average over 2 years = ($43,000 – $2,000) ÷ 12 = ~$3,416/month

Case 3: Recent College Graduate

  • Offer letter stating $55,000 annual salary
  • Employment start date within 60 days of closing
  • Accepted with VOE and proof of acceptance

Final Notes

  • Only use income that is stable, verifiable, and likely to continue
  • Use conservative calculations to avoid overestimating capacity
  • Cross-verify all income data points for consistency
  • Keep updated on investor-specific requirements and overlay

 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

US Mortgage Underwriting